Zemlyacheva E.A. Sustainable Development of Fuel and Energy Complex in Regions of Russia Specializing in It: Assessment and Forecasting

Ekaterina A.  Zemlyacheva

Volgograd State University, Volgograd, Russian Federation

Abstract. The article is devoted to the sustainability assessment of fuel and energy complex development in the regions of Russia specializing in it and prospects’ forecasting for sustainability growth in the modern conditions of the knowledge economy. A systemic review of the dynamics of the index of physical volume of GRP generated in the electric power industry and mining in 2022–2023 revealed that in the regions of Russia specializing in oil and gas production and in the Kemerovo region specializing in coal mining, there is an upswing of the fuel and energy complex. The author’s recommendations are given for a more complete disclosure of the potential for sustainable development of the fuel and energy complex in these regions. It was also established that in the regions of Russia specializing in the extractive industry, in the regions specializing in electric power, there is a recession of the fuel and energy complex. Recommendations were also suggested to support the sustainable development of the fuel and energy complex in these regions. A regression model was constructed that explained the dependence of the sustainability of the fuel and energy complex development in the regions of Russia specializing in it on the sufficiency of highly qualified human resources and the effectiveness of their labor incentives. Taking this model into account, the main conclusion of this study was made, which consists of the fact that the sustainability of the fuel and energy complex development in the regions of Russia specializing in it today is largely determined by the creation of highly productive jobs through an increase in wages in the fuel and energy complex. The further prospect of sustainable development of the fuel and energy complex in the regions of Russia specializing in it in the coming years is associated with a more complete use of the possibilities of knowledge economy by providing the sufficiency of highly qualified human resources and the effectiveness of their labor incentives. At the same time, it is important to take into account the industry specifics of the fuel and energy complex of each region.

Key words: sustainable development, fuel and energy complex, regional fuel and energy complex, specialization in fuel and energy complex, assessment, forecasting.

Citation. Zemlyacheva E.A., 2025. Sustainable Development of Fuel and Energy Complex in Regions of Russia Specializing in It: Assessment and Forecasting. Regionalnaya ekonomika. Yug Rossii [Regional Economy. South of Russia], vol. 13, no. 1, pp. 72-79. (in Russian). DOI: https://doi.org/10.15688/re.volsu.2025.1.7

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